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Spatial-Longitudinal Bent-Cable Model with an Application to Atmospheric CFC Data

dc.contributor.advisorKhan, Shahedul A.en_US
dc.contributor.advisorLi, Longhaien_US
dc.contributor.committeeMemberGuo, Xulinen_US
dc.contributor.committeeMemberSoteros, Chrisen_US
dc.contributor.committeeMemberBickis, Mikelisen_US
dc.creatorRana, Md Masuden_US
dc.date.accessioned2013-01-03T22:33:48Z
dc.date.available2013-01-03T22:33:48Z
dc.date.created2012-08en_US
dc.date.issued2012-09-19en_US
dc.date.submittedAugust 2012en_US
dc.description.abstractSpatial data (also called georeferenced data) arise in a wide range of scientific studies, including geography, agriculture, criminology, geology, urban and regional economics. The underlying spatial effects – the measurement error caused by any spatial pattern embedded in data – may affect both the validity and robustness of traditional descriptive and inferential techniques. Therefore, it is of paramount importance to take into account spatial effects when analysing spatially dependent data. In particular, addressing the spatial association among attribute values observed at different locations and the systematic variation of phenomena by locations are the two major aspects of modelling spatial data. The bent-cable is a parametric regression model to study data that exhibits a trend change over time. It comprises two linear segments to describe the incoming and outgoing phases, joined by a quadratic bend to model the transition period. For spatial longitudinal data, measurements taken over time are nested within spatially dependent locations. In this thesis, we extend the existing longitudinal bent-cable regression model to handle spatial effects. We do so in a hierarchical Bayesian framework by allowing the error terms to be correlated across space. We illustrate our methodology with an application to atmospheric chlorofluorocarbon (CFC) data. We also present a simulation study to demonstrate the performance of our proposed methodology. Although we have tailored our work for the CFC data, our modelling framework may be applicable to a wide variety of other situations across the range of the econometrics, transportation, social, health and medical sciences. In addition, our methodology can be further extended by taking into account interaction between temporal and spatial effects. With the current model, this could be done with a spatial correlation structure that changes as a function of time.en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10388/ETD-2012-08-636en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.subjectatmospheric ozone depletionen_US
dc.subjectBayesian inferenceen_US
dc.subjectbent cable regressionen_US
dc.subjectchlorofluorocarbonen_US
dc.subjectlongitudinal dataen_US
dc.subjectspatial effectsen_US
dc.titleSpatial-Longitudinal Bent-Cable Model with an Application to Atmospheric CFC Dataen_US
dc.type.genreThesisen_US
dc.type.materialtexten_US
thesis.degree.departmentMathematics and Statisticsen_US
thesis.degree.disciplineMathematicsen_US
thesis.degree.grantorUniversity of Saskatchewanen_US
thesis.degree.levelMastersen_US
thesis.degree.nameMaster of Science (M.Sc.)en_US

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