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Modeling a realistic integrated energy hub with growing demand for electric vehicles: The case of the province of Ontario, Canada

Date

2025-01-28

Authors

Siroos, Ahmad
Samarghandi, Hamed

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Elsevier

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Article

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Abstract

Energy hubs are multi-carrier energy management systems that efficiently distribute various forms of energy, reducing losses and environmental pollution. This paper examines Ontario, Canada, as a major energy hub, using a typical fall day pattern for energy demand. The model includes all power generation sources in Ontario: photovoltaic (PV), wind turbine (WT), nuclear, hydro, biofuel, and natural gas power plants. It also integrates the charging and discharging of electric vehicles (EVs) within the energy distribution framework. Managing the intrinsic uncertainty of the parameters is crucial for efficient operation. This study employs probabilistic functions to account for the arrival and departure hours of EVs, controlled using the Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) method. Three methods, Information Gap Decision Theory (IGDT) with risk-seeking and risk-averse behaviors, and robust optimization, address uncertainties such as wind and solar electricity production, energy prices, and electrical, heating, and cooling demands. We compare simulation results of three scheduling scenarios for optimal energy production and dispatch. The RS-IGDT method can lead to significant losses during peak hours due to fluctuations. The robust method incurs higher costs by planning for large deviations. The RA-IGDT method balances deviations without the pessimism of the robust method, making it the recommended approach.

Description

0360-5442/© 2025 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

Keywords

Combined cooling, Heating and power, Energy hub, Electric vehicles, Information gap decision theory, Risk averse and risk seeker IGDT, Robust method

Citation

Siroos, A., & Hamed Samarghandi. (2025). Modeling a realistic integrated energy hub with growing demand for electric vehicles: the case of the province of Ontario, Canada. Energy, 134678–134678. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2025.134678

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DOI

10.1016/j.energy.2025.134678

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