Browsing by Author "Guo, Xulin"
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Item Prairie Hydrological Model Study Final Report(Centre for Hydrology, University Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, 2010) Pomeroy, John; Fang, Xing; Westbrook, Cherie; Minke, Adam; Guo, Xulin; Brown, TomThis report describes the development of the Prairie Hydrological Model (PHM), a model that is suitable for hydrological process simulations in the prairie pothole region of Western Canada. The model considers all major prairie hydrological cycle, wetland storage, and runoff generation mechanisms and is capable of addressing the influences of changing land use, wetland drainage and climate variability. The purpose of this report is to describe the model, examine the performance of the model, and to demonstrate the model as a predictive tool for prairie hydrology. This purpose is achieved by using the model to analyze the impacts of wetland drainage and restoration as well as changes in surrounding upland land use on downstream hydrology. This focus on wetland drainage impacts required the development and testing of a new volume-area-depth (v-a-h) method for estimating wetland volume in the prairie pothole region. The method was incorporated into the PHM and improved the model’s ability to estimate wetland volume. The Cold Regions Hydrological Model platform (CRHM) is a computational toolbox developed by the University of Saskatchewan to set up and run physically based, flexible, object oriented hydrological models. CRHM was used to create the PHM for Smith Creek Research Basin (~400 km2 ), Saskatchewan. Two types of PHM runs were performed to estimate the basin hydrology. The non-LiDAR (Light Detection and Ranging) runs used a photogrammetric based DEM (digital elevation model) to estimate drainage area and hydrograph calibration to determine maximum depressional storage. The LiDAR runs used a fine-scale LiDAR derived DEM to determine drainage area and maximum depressional storage; use of LiDAR information meant that calibration was not required to set any parameter value. In both cases all non-topographic parameters were determined from basin observations, remote sensing and field surveys. Both LiDAR and non-LiDAR model predictions of winter snow accumulation were very similar and compared quite well with the distributed snow survey results. The simulations were able to effectively capture the natural sequence of snow redistribution and relocate snow from ‘source’ areas (e.g. fallow and stubble fields) to ‘sink’ or ‘drift’ areas (e.g. tall vegetated wetland area and deeply incised channels). This is a vital process in controlling the water balance of prairie basins as most water in wetlands and prairie river channels is the result of redistribution of snow by wind and subsequent snowmelt runoff. Soil moisture status is an important factor in determining the spring surface runoff and in controlling agricultural productivity. Unfrozen soil moisture content at a point during melt was adequately simulated from both modelling approaches. Both modelling approaches were capable of matching the spring streamflow hydrographs with good accuracy; the non-LiDAR approach performed slightly better than the LiDAR approach because the streamflow hydrograph was calibrated, whereas no calibration was involved in the LiDAR simulation. However, the LiDAR approach to simulation shows promise for application to ungauged basins or to changing basins and demonstrates that prairie hydrology can be simulated based on our current understanding of physical principles and good basin data that provides “real” parameters. The approach uses a ii LiDAR DEM, SPOT 5 satellite images and involved automated basin parameters delineation techniques and a new wetland depth-area-volume calculation. The new wetland depth-area-volume calculation used a LiDAR-derived DEM to estimate maximum depressional storage, a substantial improvement over estimates generated from simpler area-volume methods. This was likely due to the inclusion of information on depression morphology when calculating volume. Further, the process to retrieve the coefficients from a LiDAR DEM was automated and wetland storage was estimated at a broad spatial scale. A GIS model was created that can automatically extract the elevation and area data necessary for use in the new depth-area-volume method. Using the Prairie Hydrological Model, PHM, a series of scenarios on changing land use and wetland and drainage conditions was created from 2007-08 meteorological data. The scenario simulations were used to calculate cumulative spring basin discharge, total winter snow accumulation, blowing snow transport and sublimation, cumulative infiltration, and spring surface depression storage status. From these simulations, spring streamflow volumes decreased by 2% with complete conversion to agriculture and by 79% with complete restoration of wetlands; conversely it increased by 41% with complete conversion to forest cover and by 117% with complete wetland drainage. The greatest sensitivity was to further drainage of wetlands which substantially increased streamflow. Additional sensitivity analysis of scenarios on basin streamflow using historical (29-year periods: 1965-82 and 1993-2005) meteorology and initial conditions and current land use was carried out. Results showed that the effects of land use change and wetland drainage alteration on cumulative basin spring discharge volume and peak daily spring discharge were highly variable from year to year and depended on the flow condition. For both forest conversion and agricultural conversion and wetland drainage scenarios increased the long-term average peak discharge from current conditions, whereas wetland restoration reduced it. Forest conversion, agricultural conversion and wetland drainage scenarios increased the long-term average spring discharge volume by 1%, 19%, and 36% respectively; whilst the wetland restoration scenario reduced volumes by 45%. Several recommendations were made regarding the modelling challenges faced by this study and value of local meteorological data collection and using a LiDAR generated DEM for Prairie hydrological modelling purposes. It is recommended that similar studies be conducted in other geographic areas of the prairies where climate, soils, wetland configuration and drainage may produce differing results.Item Prairie Hydrological Model Study Progress Report, April 2008(Centre for Hydrology, University Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, 2008) Pomeroy, John; Westbrook, Cherie; Fang, Xing; Minke, Adam; Guo, XulinThis report is an update on the progress made over the first 12 months of the Prairie Hydrological Model Study and corresponds to Milestone #3. In summary, we have characterized the 2007-2008 Hydrological Year for modeling by installing weather, soil moisture, rainfall and pond level recording stations, observing summer evaporation, fall freeze-up and winter snowpack development to the start of melt. We have also made progress on wetland and basin characterization using remote sensing and other spatial information, and begun analysis of hydrometeorological data.Item Prairie Hydrological Model Study Progress Report, December 2008(Centre for Hydrology, University Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, 2009) Pomeroy, John; Westbrook, Cherie; Fang, Xing; Brown, Tom; Minke, Adam; Guo, XulinThis report is an update on progress made to the middle of December 2008, corresponding to “Milestone Month 20”. According to our study plan, at this milestone “we will have completed a wetland module and with evaluation on Smith Creek Research Basin and archival data available at the Centre for Hydrology (Objective 3, 4)”. More specifically, Objectives 3 and 4 are stated as: • Objective 3: A physically based, hydrological response unit-based hydrological model, (the Prairie Hydrological Model), will be developed that is suitable for multiple season simulation of the hydrology of the Canadian Prairie environment. The model will be capable of predicting water balance, soil moisture, snow cover, actual evaporation and streamflow on a daily time-step with minimal calibration of model parameters from streamflow records. The model will contain a wetland module that includes assigned variable drainage rates from the wetland. The intended basins would drain to a stream or internally drained lake/wetland, with basin size to be greater than ~1 km2 and less than ~250 km2. • Objective 4: The Prairie Hydrological Model will be evaluated at Smith Creek through hydrological simulation and quantitative analysis of multi-objective criteria, including streamflow and wetland extent. Whilst calibration will be minimised and limited to non-physical aspects of the model, certain parameters will be optimised from these comparisons. For streamflow, both annual and peak flows are parameters of interest. For wetlands, seasonal extent is the parameter of interest. Outlined below are the research activities regarding these two objectives, beginning with a description of the model created with the Cold Regions Hydrological Modelling Platform (CRHM), the CRHM-Prairie Hydrological Model, or CRHM-PHM, followed by a description of the addition of the wetland module, and concluding with preliminary results from CRHM-PHM evaluations at Smith Creek.Item A Review of Canadian Prairie Hydrology: Principles, Modelling and Response to Land Use and Drainage Change(Centre for Hydrology, University Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, 2007) Fang, Xing; Minke, Adam; Pomeroy, John; Brown, Tom; Westbrook, Cherie; Guo, Xulin; Guangul, SeifuThis report reviews research on the hydrological cycle, runoff generation, hydrological modelling and the influence of changes to land cover and wetlands on the same for the Canadian Prairies. The purpose of this report is to identify and examine the major processes that are responsible for prairie hydrology as well as the impacts of land cover change such as wetland drainage on water storage and on the streamflow hydrograph. The objective of this report is to propose hydrological modelling techniques; these techniques can contribute to the development of a predictive tool in the form of a prairie hydrological model. It is intent to utilize such a hydrological model to evaluate the impacts of wetland drainage and restoration as well as changes in the surrounding upland land use on downstream hydrology. Hydrology in the Canadian Prairie region is complex and highly varied. Only one third of annual precipitation occurs over the winter and the surface snow water equivalent distribution is highly heterogeneous due to wind redistribution of snow during blowing snow storms. Blowing snow can transport and sublimate as much as 75% of annual snowfall from open prairie fields. The formation of drifts from windblown snow lengthens the spring runoff season and modulates the peak spring flows. The frozen state of mineral soils results in rapid snowmelt runoff in the springtime, which produces 80% or more of annual local runoff. The prairie region is characterized by glacially-formed depressions; these depressions fill with water to form pothole sloughs and wetlands and are very important to prairie hydrology due to their surface storage capacity. A fill-and-spill runoff mechanism is identifiable in prairie basins that are dominated by these surface depressions where flow does not commence until all storage in the depressions is filled. This results in an episodic and rapid increase in contributing area during peak runoff events. However outside of these events much of the prairie landscape is non-contributing to streamflow and even in the most extreme runoff events, some prairie basins are internally drained and never contribute to streamflow. This fill and spill phenomenon is in contrast to forms of hydrological storage found in temperate regions in which the flow rate is proportional to storage. Because of depressional storage and poorly and internally drained basins, most surface runoff in the prairie region does not contribute to the major river systems. Hydrological processes in the prairie region are sensitive to the land cover and climate change. Wetlands can be completely dried out when surrounded by native grassland rather than agricultural fields. Droughts are frequent on the Canadian Prairies. Lower precipitation and higher air temperature are the common characteristics of droughts; surface snowmelt runoff is largely suppressed and can even completely cease when warmer (e.g. 5 ºC increase of temperature) or drier (e.g. 50% decrease of precipitation) conditions develop. The Cold Regions Hydrological Model platform (CRHM) is a “state-of-the-art” physically-based hydrological model designed for the prairie region. CRHM is based on a modular, object-oriented structure in which component modules represent basin descriptions, observations, or physically-based algorithms for calculating hydrological processes. Preliminary tests show reasonable performance of CRHM in simulating the water balance and streamflow hydrograph for prairie regions. The model also shows capabilities to simulate impact of land use change and climate change on hydrological processes and streamflow. Further work in CHRM will be development of surface storage and surface routing models that are suitable for modelling hydrology in the prairie wetland region.Item Snow Surveys and Hydrometeorology Data Collection in 2009 Winter Field Season at Smith Creek Basin(Centre for Hydrology, University Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, 2009) Pomeroy, John; Westbrook, Cherie; Fang, Xing; Minke, Adam; Guo, XulinThis report describes the data collection being conducted in 2009 winter field season at Smith Creek Basin. The data collection consists of two components: snow surveys and hydrometeorology. The following sections explain the procedures of collecting these data and how a comparison to the data from last winter field season.