Development of an ice-jam flood forecasting modelling framework for freeze-up/winter breakup
Date
2023
Authors
Das, Apurba
Budhathoki, Sujata
Lindenschmidt, Karl-Erich
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
IWA Publishing
ORCID
Type
Article
Degree Level
Abstract
River ice-jams can create severe flooding along many rivers in cold regions. While ice-jams often form during the spring breakup, the midwinter breakup can cause ice-jamming and flooding. Although many studies have already been focused on forecasting spring ice-jam flooding, studies related to forecasting mid-winter breakup jamming and flooding severity are sparse. The main purpose of this research is to develop a stochastic framework to forecast the severity of mid-winter ice-jam flooding along the transborder (New Brunswick/Maine) Saint John River of North America. A combination of hydrological (MESH) and hydraulic model (RIVICE) simulations was applied to develop the stochastic framework. A mid-winter breakup along the river that occurred in 2018 has been hindcasted as a case study. The result shows that the modelling framework can capture the real-time ice-jam severity. The results of this research will help to improve the capacity of ice-jam flood management in cold regions.
Description
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Licence (CC BY 4.0), which permits copying, adaptation and redistribution, provided the original work is properly cited (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Keywords
flood forecasting, freeze-up, hydrology, river hydraulics, stochastic approach, winter breakup
Citation
Das, A., Budhathoki, S., Lindenschmidt K.-E. (2023). Development of an ice-jam flood forecasting modelling framework for freeze-up/winter breakup. Hydrology Research Vol 54 No 5, 648. doi: 10.2166/nh.2023.073
Degree
Department
Program
Advisor
Committee
Citation
Das, A., Budhathoki, S., Lindenschmidt K.-E. (2023). Development of an ice-jam flood forecasting modelling framework for freeze-up/winter breakup. Hydrology Research Vol 54 No 5, 648. doi: 10.2166/nh.2023.073
Part Of
item.page.relation.ispartofseries
DOI
10.2166/nh.2023.073