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Dividend Changes and Future Profitability: A Revisit based on Earnings Volatility

dc.contributor.advisorMaung, Minen_US
dc.contributor.advisorWilson, Craigen_US
dc.creatorGuo, Yirongen_US
dc.date.accessioned2014-08-22T12:00:15Z
dc.date.available2014-08-22T12:00:15Z
dc.date.created2014-07en_US
dc.date.issued2014-08-21en_US
dc.date.submittedJuly 2014en_US
dc.description.abstractWe investigate whether dividend changes signal firms’ future profitability by considering firms’ earnings volatility and examining how earnings volatility affects dividend signaling. In general, we find a positive relation between dividend increases on firms’ future earnings. In other words, dividend increases tend to signal positive changes in future earnings. However, the effect largely depends on the firms’ earnings volatility such that higher earnings volatility tends to miti-gate the signaling effect of dividend increases on future earnings. Specifically, for firms that have high earnings volatility, dividend increases seem to signal a reduction in future earnings vol-atility rather than an increase in future earnings. On the other hand, we find no consistent results for dividend decreases. Our findings have three main implications: 1) The traditional dividend signaling theory is valid; 2) the effect of signaling depends on a firm’s earnings volatility; 3) for high-volatility firms, positive dividend changes signal earnings volatility reductions rather than earnings increases.en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10388/ETD-2014-07-1633en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.subjectdividend changesen_US
dc.subjectsignalingen_US
dc.subjectearningsen_US
dc.subjectprofitabilityen_US
dc.titleDividend Changes and Future Profitability: A Revisit based on Earnings Volatilityen_US
dc.type.genreThesisen_US
dc.type.materialtexten_US
thesis.degree.departmentEdwards School of Businessen_US
thesis.degree.disciplineFinanceen_US
thesis.degree.grantorUniversity of Saskatchewanen_US
thesis.degree.levelMastersen_US
thesis.degree.nameMaster of Science (M.Sc.)en_US

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